Define and explain the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) and discuss in detail the implications it has for the determination and prediction of share price Excerpt of the paperIntroductionUnderstanding the market and being able
to make informed decisions when investing is the dream of every investor.
Usually, there are several uncertainties within the economy. And it is such
uncertainties that m
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Define and explain the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) and discuss in detail the implications it has for the determination and prediction of share price
Excerpt of the paper
Introduction
Understanding the market and being able
to make informed decisions when investing is the dream of every investor.
Usually, there are several uncertainties within the economy. And it is such
uncertainties that make the investors want to dig into the market and
understand it fully before investing (Jurado, Ludvigson, and Ng, 2015 p.1189).
This is because, no investor projects a loss, even though it is a possibility.
What then happens when investors get hold of information about the market? Is
it possible to for an investor to get hold of information regarding the price
and nature of the market before others? Will the competition be fair? According
to the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), no investor should have a competitive
advantage over the other. Thus, no investor should privately hold information
about the market secretly, or slightly before the others. What then is an
Efficient Market Hypothesis? The essay
defines the Efficient Market Hypothesis, discussing its implication for the
determination of the share price.
Efficient
Market Hypothesis
Efficient Market Hypothesis is an
investment theory whereby the share price reflects all the available
information about a particular market or stock Lo 2017, p.2). With EMH, stocks
are generally traded at their fair values in the stock exchange market. Thus,
it is impossible for any investor to purchase the undervalued stock or sell at
inflated prices. The investors, therefore, cannot outperform the market unless
they only conduct riskier investments. As per the EMH, no investor should have
any information about the market before the other investors. This usually has
implications in determining share prices.
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